EXCESS DEATHS IN SINGAPORE IN 2021

Data from Ministry of Health showed the death rate in Singapore was 582 per 100,000 in 2021 which is an uptick of 12.16% over 2020. Assuming the resident population is 5.6m, the outright number of deaths in 2021 was 32,592. 

I'm just trying to make sense of the May 9 Straits Times report, It headlined : 

"1,535 excess deaths in Singapore in 2021, of which 804 were due to Covid-19"

"The 804 deaths due to Covid-19 accounted for 52 per cent of this figure, said [Health Minister]Mr Ong, who was responding to Workers' Party MP Leon Perera (Aljunied GRC) on the number of excess deaths due to Covid-19 and how the authorities derived this figure."

"Excess death" is a WHO creation to describe the deaths in excess of what it should have been had an epidemic not occurred. In other words, deaths in excess of a normalised projection, which, for 2021 could have been (my estimation, in the absence of data) 32,592-1,535 = 31,057.

The Singapore death rate (the green line in the chart) creeps up gently reflecting our greying demographics. During the pandemic, there was a pronounced uptick in 2021.

The Health Minister said the 804 was due to covid19. Three things are not clear here:

(1) Was the 804 derived mathematically i.e. by taking the actual aggregate death numbers and deducting it from a computed normalised projection, just like I tried to do above? Or was it actual collated numbers from actual data? I think it is a mathematically derived number at this stage. Which would be disheartening as it is now 5 months post fact and actual data is still not available.
(2) It is not clear if the Minister made a distinction between "deaths from Covid" and "deaths with Covid"?
(3) What about the other part of the excess death (1,535-804 = 731). If the normalised projection is 31,057, this excess represents an increase of 2.4%. Is this statistically significant compared to historical data?

What is glaring from the chart is the uptick commenced from the beginning of 2021, right after the commencement of our vaccination programme on 30 Dec 2020. The Minister was silent on this. The notation of vaccination in the chart is my insertion. The implication is pretty obvious, but it is something one is not allowed to talk about.

This chart above is from 'Ourworldindata.org' and it begets a question. Singapore excess death rate began climbing after the end of August 2021 and peaked on 31 Oct 2021. Yet, it was from November onwards, with the explosion of Omicron, that we saw alarming daily reports of new cases and deaths. Adding to the puzzle is the fact that Omicron has been found to be highly infectious but very mild compared to prior variants of SARS-Cov2. Something doesn't add up here.

MOH requires more time to study the data to determine the actual causes of death. This is understandable and we wish them Godspeed and hope there is transparency, unlike many other countries, particularly UK and US where the public distrust of data from health officials is great as they have been caught cheating on their reports on several occasions.

Read about "Silent Weapons For Quiet Wars" -- a regime where suppressed information and propaganda is used by governments to control public awareness.

Compared to all the tragic deaths and very serious vax events we hear, and see in videos, happening in other parts of the world, it would indeed seem Singapore is a miracle blessed with zero casualties caused by the genetic theraphy vax. Straits Times 30 May 2022 reported on "Woman gives up care of children to former husband after side effects from Covid-19 jab" was the first time we hear of a serious vaccination event in Singapore from government mouth-piece. (We have been informed anecdotes from friends and relatives are misinformation). Ahem! Did this article slip past the editor, or is this the new Straits Times? In any case, the main story was about the sad family issue, the vax event was just a side note with no further details. I mean, being hospitalised for 7 months as a result of the jab, ought to be a good story in there for a reporter, wouldn't it?