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Sunday, October 31, 2021

Pandemic Blunders And Blinders As Singapore Suffers A Surge In Infection


For almost 12 months from Aug 2020 to Aug 2021, Singapore was doing great. Then suddenly all hell broke loose and we are now under severe restrictions. What the heck happened? The Delta variant broke out in India around May/June 2021. Despite public concerns, Singapore immigration kept VTL open for incoming travelers from India and elsewhere. At about the same time, the government created the perfect storm by being the first country to treat the pandemic as an endemic and opened up the country. A most catastrophic policy error, the price for which is the new target of 5,000 daily cases.

Now reports have surfaced of a workers' dormitory where 50% of the residents are un-vaccinated. This seems to suggest returning workers from India were allowed entry without vaccination papers. Government dumps aid packages on dormitory operators but elite business owners do nothing to ensure their workers are protected.  One wonders what the status is like in the rest of the worker dormitories.

Taking the cue from US, the blame game is on. The un-vaxx are responsible. Data is biased and explanations are skewed to fit a narrative. For example, only 6% of those eligible to vaccinate remain un-vaxx, yet 60% of those in ICU are un-vaxx.

The reality is the majority are those unvaxx are elderlies and/or with comorbidities. Let's assume 3% are healthy, split between the young and elderlies. Let's say 1.5% are the healthy unvax. It's fair to assume that 4.5% would be more house-bound. The government want us to believe the 1.5% is responsible for the rise in cases, with no data to show who the vaxx'd caught the virus from. The vaxx'd are still catching and spreading the virus, but the success of the vaccination is now parlayed in the evidence that the majority of those in ICU are the unvaxx. It is however, never explained that the majority of the unvaxx in ICU are those with comorbidities or elderlies.

The un-vaxx have been barred from malls and restaurants and food outlets. Facebook commenter, Goh Meng Seng, rightly pointed out 3 weeks have now passed with the segregation regulations. The infection rate should have decreased, but it has'nt.

Very unfortunately, we have come to a stage where trust is dwindling. Whilst the government thrusts their data at our faces to justify the segregation policies, and now impose a prima facie mandatory vaccination by requesting employers to terminate the unvaxx if it impedes the efficiency of their operation. In his FB couple of days ago, opposition member Jamus Lim said "I'm glad that the government has taken steps to ensure that there is'nt inadvertent discrimination of individuals that are unable to choose...." I'm afraid the young man is wrong. Vaccine tyranny is already here.

The case for Ivermectin:

Data is extremely useful, sparsing the numbers is tricky and it is easy to be biased to suit a narrative. But here's some data that is so simple to understand, yet WHO and all governments, including Singapore, simply refuse to acknowledge.


India was hit hard by the Delta variant. When it made a decision in Apr 2021 to use Ivermectin, I followed developments there. By July, India was out of the woods.
India is a federation and states pursue health policies independently. The 2 states of Uttar Pradesh and Delhi that pushed Ivermectin are now at almost zero cases. WHO participated in the Uttar Pradesh programme so they are in full possession of the evidence of the  success of Ivermectin.  
The Indian state of Kerala makes for interesting comparison. It also went for Ivermectin, but stopped on Aug 5. Cases began to rise again. It is unable to achieve the same success as Uttar Pradesh and Delhi.

Indonesia was hit hard and health services almost collapsed in Jun 2021. When it decided to use Ivermectin, I followed their development. Early this month, their cases are down to negligible. State-owned pharmaceutical firm PT Indofarma is now producing Ivermectin in Indonesia.

Japan was hit hard in Jul 2021. Japan was convinced of the African Ivermectin enigma.  From 1995-2010 several states took part in the African Program for Onchocerciasis Control (APOC) in which Ivermectin was used against parasitic diseases. 20+ African states took part. All these APOC states are showing very low rate of covid infection. By using Ivermectin, these countries had inadvertently created pre-conditions for immunity from covid-19.

When Japan announced they will use Ivermectin, I followed their development. By early this month, Japan had licked the problem.

One is unlikely to read of anything good about Ivermectin. There have been 52 peer-reviewed studies which showed Ivermectin works against covid-19. But a Google search will show nothing positive. Covid news are tightly suppressed to support only one side of the narrative - Vaccines are good, they work, be a good fella and go get the jab, for everybody's sake. What does the mainstream media think of the experiences of India, Indonesia and Japan?
Their Experts say herd immunity or pre-existing protection from the virus are among several reasons for sudden drop in cases. They say herd immunity when India has such a low rate of vaccination. They say 'pre-existing' protection but had no idea what they are talking. Yet 'pre-existing' protection is what they have in some African states, but no one is talking about this. The vaxx'd are puzzled, the unvax knows the game changer for Uttar Pradesh and Delhi was Ivermectin.
See how Singapore media described the Indonesian initiative on 15 Jul 2021. It reported the government "... began distributing free medicine and vitamins to self-isolating Covid-19 patients in high-risk areas .......... Each package will have seven days worth of therapeutic Covid-19 drugs and vitamins, and will be given to asymptomatic patients as well as those with mild to moderate symptoms including fever and dry cough."

Straits Times never once mentioned Ivermectin in the cocktail of drugs being used by Indonesia.  It's the jumbo elephant in the room our servile press is forbidden to comment on. There has been no follow up report in Straits Times or other mainstream media, on the success of the Indonesian initiative.
Again media and their experts are puzzled. Reuters reported " ... the speed with which a wave of infections and hospitalisations fuelled by the infectious Delta variant has ebbed away has confounded the experts." But Japanese authorities knew their decision to switch to Ivermectin saved the day.

What does Singapore Government think of Ivermectin?

In it's fact-check article 24 Oct 2021, the government said "It is not an anti-viral medicine and is not approved by HSA for preventing or treating COVID-19. To date, there is no conclusive scientific evidence from rigorously conducted large-scale randomised controlled trials to prove that ivermectin is effective against COVID-19." This is the dead-pan statement that all governments in the world seem to play like an orchestra.

But our government is wrong. Read this before it is taken down.
"Large-scale study shows oral hydroxychloroquine and povidone-iodine throat spray can reduce spread of covid-19 in high transmission settings" ..... Institute Journal Of Infectious Disease
And this study was done by none other than our very own NUH ! In April 2020, National University of Health conducted a large-scale randomised controlled trial among healthy migrant workers in Singapore to see if a preventive regimen can be effective in reducing COVID-19 transmission. The study was published in the Institute Journal of Infectious Disease. Hydroxychloroquine, Povidone-Iodine, Vit C, Zinc and Ivermectin were tested. The study suggested hydroxychloroquine has efficacy in treating covid19, in contrast with various prior studies. It also suggested Povidone-Iodine has efficacy as topical therapy in nasal spray. It also confirmed Vit C, zinc and Ivermectin has some similar low level of efficacy.

It should be noted that in the NUH study, Ivermectin was applied in only one single dose. Compared various doctors who reported efficacy rates of 70%-80% for Ivermectin, the drug was very effective when used in several doses (Uttar Pradsh used a 5-day course), in combination with other drugs such as N-pak,  Vit C, zinc, glutathione, Z-pak, prednisone, monoclonal antibodies etc and given in the early stage. NUH recognised this when they concluded "It remains uncertain whether a larger sample size in the zinc/vitamin C combination arm could alter this conclusion and whether the results would differ had higher and repeated doses of Ivermectin been studied."

The high vaccination-high cases enigma:

With no gut feel to change strategies, it seems the gameplan is to double down on 100% vaccination, which is unattainable. With about 83% vaccinated, Singapore is already in the top 3 countries in the world. The pursuit of marginal gains in the vaxx numbers is unlikely to bring new cases down due to (1) it is already proven vaxx'd are themselves carriers and spreaders and (2) countries with high vaccination rates are seeing high new cases.

I appreciate the authorities came down hard on the website 'Truth Warriors" for saying high vaxx rate = high cases as misinformation. However my 'Covid-safe country index update 27 Oct" seems to indicate the co-relationship exists. I concede co-relationship does not necessary equate causation, but the evidence is in the charts. Going into September with a high vaccination rate, I was fearful Singapore will be a replay of Israel, which was exactly what happened.

The experience of Israel and Singapore is also now playing out in Ireland. It is somewhat similar to Singapore with population of 5m, fully vaccinated is 75% and for adults it is 92% (Singapore is 5.7m, 83%, 94%). Since July, the new cases in Ireland have risen dramatically. It is reaching 3,000 cases per day now. No where is this more dramatic than in the city of Waterford which has a vaccination rate of 99.7% for adults and yet it is the city with the highest daily new cases.

The case for early treatment and prophylactic protocol :

Proof that early treatment with some prophylactic therapies works well is also fully supported by the experience of the state of Florida in US. The Republican run state is not anti-vax. It practices personal choice and provides free vaccination to those who want it. In the middle of the year, the state experienced a surge in cases, which they suspected was due to the influx of illegal immigrants from the south. Florida's numbers soared and Democrats gloated. The Governor opened special centres to provide prophylactic therapies that included the monoclonal antibody Regeneron. As their numbers came under control again, the Biden administration denied the state access to the large quantity of Regeneron. It is a political move to dampen the success of any initiative that is not pro-vaccine. Federal government would prefer to let Floridans die. Regeneron is under a Federal acquisition contract so Florida cannot buy directly. In reaction to this denial of supply, the state switched brand and purchased Sotrovimab from GlaxoSmithKline. Today, Florida has the lowest new cases in the whole of US, despite it having no lockdowns and low vaccination rates.

What are our neighbours doing? Indonesia took a bold calculated move to use Ivermectin and solved their problem. Malaysia has taken a deep dive to study Ivermectin before making a decision. In Philippines, Doctor Allan Landrito purchased the compounds and produced his own Ivermectin which he said he has sold to and treated thousands. He has since stopped distribution as authorities cautioned breach of laws (and rightfully so). President Duterte has recently signed an order that allowed physicians to treat their patients they deem best, including the use of Ivermectin. And Duterte is right. The manner of medical treatment is the sole prerogative of the attending physician who understands what's best for his patient. It used to be this way until the pandemic came along and all doctors are bound by a prescription-fits-all recommended by regulators who know nothing about the patients.

In my earlier blog "Open Letter To MTF To Adopt The Uttar Pradesh Model To Stop Pandemic"  I suggested adoption of the Uttar Pradesh model of an outreach programme to treat all asymtomatic cases at the early stage using a prophylactic protocol that includes Ivermectin and other drugs. A proactive rather than a reactive programme, is the best way to arrest the infection.

I am not unforgiving of errors. A pandemic is a very difficult situation where policy decisions try to balance social restrictions and economic activities. Achievements come out of trials and errors. However, we seem to have been inflicted with the same blows twice over. When the virus arrived, Singapore was late in closing down borders, and we had the dormitories as super spreaders, all these in 2020. Now with the Delta variant thriving, we are opening borders, and here we are again, with dormitory breakouts in 2021.

Given the evidence, the crux of the matter currently is not a matter of percentage of vaxx'd or unvaxx. But Singapore seems hellbent on pursuing 100% vaccination as the solution. We all know what Einstien said about doing the same things over and over again.


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3 comments:

  1. It is sad that the viewpoint of our government has become so narrow that it refuses to explore alternatives. It is blatantly obvious now that a lot of information that shows the prevention of infection and the spread using re-purposed drugs are deliberately censored and lied about. Borrowing a term I recently heard "Cui Bono"? Who benefits from all of this? Why hell bent on using experimental injections that has not gone through the 10 year developmental cycle of typical vaccines? Why the sudden rush to get everyone vaxxed and even with boosters when it has failed to do it's job? And why brush aside real concerns about potential vaccine injuries? Something is terribly wrong here! Putting the blame on the unvaxxed is just wrong! I fear soon they will come for our young children and if we don't speak up, it will be too late for everyone. The "vaccine" has failed to prevent infection and spread, we should be focusing our efforts on prevention, building up our health and immunity and exploring other treatments. Thank you Pat for writing your piece! We need more people to speak up!

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  2. Thanks for visiting Weeliano
    I;m in agreement with everything you said here. It does'nt need rocket science to see there is something very wrong going on.
    I personally believe there is a co-ordinated plan in the western countires, together with Australia and NZ, for some socialist-corporate power grab. Not that the planned for the pandemic, but they seized the opportunity and rode on it. The rest of the world are'nt in on this, but are dumb fools who have taken the blue pills from Morpheus.

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  3. got all the points,sadly the masses are daft and mostly dont understand .blackrock control everything.and agenda 2030 is real.

    ReplyDelete

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